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Jul 28, 2021 share tweet

Betting tips: Kozlov vs. Tabilo

One betting analysis for today on the following event:
  • Stefan Kozlov vs. Alejandro Tabilo (Lexington challenger)

Tennis – Lexington challenger Round 16: Stefan Kozlov vs. Alejandro Tabilo

Stefan Kozlov used to be one of the best prospects for American tennis. At a very young age, he reached his best career ranking at #115 and looked destined to reach the top 100, Sadly, he seemed to lose this game in 2018 and the road to success became tougher and tougher. Kozlov is now ranked #322 in the world. However, the 2021 season is looking pretty good. With an overall 22-8 record (17-7 on hard court), the American player has recorded wins over Ryan Harrison, Donald Young, Maxime Cressy, Joao Sousa and Christopher Eubanks. The road is still long but the trajectory is looking interesting for Stefan Kozlov at the moment.

Alejandro Tabilo is like most players from Chile a clay specialist. On outdoor hard court, his record is decent (61-46), nevertheless in 2021 Tabilo won only 3 matches on this surface. As you could expect, most of his best wins have been achieved on clay this season, over very good players like Federico Coria, Facundo Bagnis, Robin Haase or Benjamin Bonzi. On hard court, only a win against out of form Damir Dzumhur can draw our attention.

Alejandro Tabilo was on a solid track in the previous years with 51 wins, 30 losses in 2019, and especially last year when he won 54 matches for only 20 losses. Since then, his form has been mediocre as this year's record indicates (20 wins – 20 losses). We believe this encounter is a very good opportunity for Stefan Kozlov, his game works well on hard court, he can dictate the rallies, his opponent does not like to be rushed on fast surfaces. The betting odds for this match are close to even and this is good news in our opinion. In these conditions, we see some decent betting value on the American player, especially on home soil.

Prediction: Kozlov reached a challenger semifinal last week and we trust him to do well again this week in Lexington. We back Kozlov to win (Match odds).

If you also have in mind to place some bets on the outright markets (winner of the tournament) on Lexington challenger or on the Olympics, we invite you to have a deep look at the draw first, in order to ponder if your potential bets are worth the risk or not, in terms of odds and value. We give some recommendation in the following article: do the sharpest tennis punters place outright bets?


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