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Aug 25, 2021 share tweet

Betting tips: Gaston vs. Bemelmans and Tseng vs. Nardi

Two betting analyses for today on the following matches:
  • Hugo Gaston vs. Ruben Bemelmans (US Open qualification)
  • Tseng Chun Hsin vs. Luca Nardi (Barletta challenger)

Tennis – US Open qualification: Hugo Gaston vs. Ruben Bemelmans

Hugo Gaston was vastly unknown to the public before last year when he made a very strong impression at the French Open, defeating Stanislas Wawrinka before losing a very close match to a favorite of the event Dominic Thiem. Since then, the 20 years old player from France has been inconsistent but impressed again this season when he reached the final in Gstaad, beating brilliant clay players (Cristian Garin, Laslo Djere). On hard court however, Gaston is yet to show great things.

Ruben Bemelmans is obviously past his best. At 33 years old, he is ranked #224 in the world. Nevertheless, the player from Belgium won a challenger tournament this year in Cherbourg, beating Arthur Rinderknech, Denis Istomin and Lukas Rosol.

The fact that Gaston is a large favorite for this match makes us cautious. The surface being quite fast, it should not favor the Frenchman that much. We expect a close match and see some betting value on Bemelmans at odds around 3.0.

Prediction: the underdog should have a decent shot tomorrow. We predict Bemelmans to win (Match odds).


Tennis – Barletta challenger: Tseng Chun Hsin vs. Luca Nardi

Tseng Chun Hsin made a name of himself two years ago. That season, the youngster from Taiwan was granted a wild card in Miami where he lost to a good Joao Sousa on a very respectable scoreline (6-4, 7-5). Since then, Tseng had some very good results but was also quite inconsistent. Still, his record this season consists of 22 wins and 16 losses, on clay he reached the semifinals in Almaty (challenger).

Luca Nardi received a wild card to play this event at home, and impressed in the first round, beating Malek Jaziri 6-3, 6-1. The athlete from Italy has just turned 18 years old and is ranked #559 in the world. Nardi is undoubtedly playing better than his ranking suggests. Just two weeks ago, he lost to Marco Cecchinato by the narrowest scoreline (7-6, 7-6).

The betting market has Tseng as the favorite. For us, this suggests good value on Nardi if you can bet on him above 2.30.

Prediction: Nardi will be fully motivated on his favorite surface and with the home support. We predict Nardi to win (Match odds).

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